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Our estimate is based on three key factors airline pricing researchers track
Flights booked 30โ90 days out see the most price volatility. Airlines reprice frequently to fill seats, creating drop opportunities โ especially at night.
International and transatlantic routes see larger absolute drops. Domestic routes drop more frequently but in smaller amounts. Both are worth monitoring.
Higher-priced tickets tend to see larger absolute drops. A $800 fare has more room to fall than a $200 fare โ both in dollars and percentage terms.